World Championship Qualifiers, 2nd round.
Match will be played at 8:30 P.M.
Xu Si is one of the weaker Chinese players. He is ranked 81th and his annual ranking is 70th. He builds breaks very average, he scores poorly against good players. This season, he has been eliminated 5 times from the classic tournament format (took part in 9). He recorded a series of several defeats in a row, but with strong opponents, he simply had no luck in the draws. However, he was losing these matches very high: to 0 or 1.
Hendry, after returning to the Main Tour, played 2 matches. The first one lost high, but in good style against Selt, who was very well disposed in that tournament - Gibraltar Open. In his second match, Hendry won against Jimmy White in a match of snooker legends in the 1st qualifying round World Championship. His play was tactically wise, of a high level, reasonable offensive and defensive. It is difficult for me to find an example of the wrong decisions he made, but unfortunately too often there were mistakes in the implementation of intentions.
I'm betting on the victory of the old champion here. His rival is not strong and so far shows limited potential. Four years ago, when he reached the semi-finals of the Indian Open, it seemed otherwise, but the passing of time did not prove Xu Si's talent. Chinese player best chance is to take advantage of Hendry's possible mistakes. The fewer there are, the smaller his chances will be. I believe that in this match everything will depend on the attitude of the player from Scotland. After his first match, I was left with the impression that in the second part he played better, more precisely, made fewer mistakes. It must have been helped by the fact that White's performance, weak at the beginning, then slightly better, at the end of the game looked bad again.
Is there a valubet in the bookmaker's market valuation? I think so, but small. It seems to me that the valuation of his odds at 1.80 would be closer to reality. I bought Hendry's win, but if someone is not convinced
of the presented arguments, it would be good not to put any money in this match.
Attention: I wrote this text assuming that the average market price
of Hendry's victory is 2.00. Before approving my analysis, I checked the odds and found that at Pinnacle, 1xBet, Coolbet, prices had increased.
It is significant because Pinnacle bookmaker is played by big players with big wallets and 1XBet is characterized by extreme odds and emotions.