Due to Time restriction regarding posting picks shorter previews than usual...
Sabathia starting for the Yankees. True workhorse and eating a lot of innings and still useful altough he won't go deep. But that is okay since there is a great bullpen to back him up. 3.59 ERA, he pitched a bit worse than that, but still pretty good. I like his command: 2.34 BB/9 and pretty good 42.4GB%. 1.56 not too good. At home he is a little better, he did not lose at home yet, and his numbers at home are solid: 1-0. 7.63 K/9, 1.23 BB/9, 1.53 HR/9, 3.07 ERA.
Nats are worse against LHP as well, ranked 21th ( against RHP ranked 18th)
So, CC his main weapon is his cutter, this is his main pitch, followed by the slider, sinker and Change. Nationals suck against all those pitches. Ranked 26th against the cutter, 22th against the slider, 15th against the Sinker, 23th against the Change. Nats kill the curve and CC barely throws this.
On the other side Roark starting for the Nats. 3.56 ERA but this should a 4+ ERA if we take a closer look. Solid 7.47 K/9, 1.03 HR/9. However, his 2.87 BB/9 is a command issue. On the road his stuff is worse: 6.15 K/9 and an ERA that should be one point higher than his 3.29 road ERA.
So he throws the Sinker the most, followed by the FA. Guess what? Yankees CRUSH those pitches. They are first against the FA ( together with the Cubbies ) and first against the Sinker in all of baseball.
Also some changes in Roarks split:
Righties SLG .308 off him
Lefties SLG .433 off him
Lefties Gardner, Bird, Didi will all start together with Switch hitters Hicks and Walker.
-Yankees crush RHP anyway, ranked 2nd in advanced stats.
Yankees bullpen topnotch, ranked 2nd (!). What do you expect with Betances and Chapman.
-Nationals' pen average, ranked 11th in advanced stats.
Yankees are clearly favorites and should take this one way or another. Baby bombers from the Bronx is the right play here no matter what.