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Yankees - Red Sox    (won)

Won last night with the monsterous +165 odds. I do not think that it will be another blowout but i also do not think that Boston should be dogs again and here is why..

Old veteran CC Sabathia starting for the Yankees. Altough he has been most helpful in the first half of the season ( was not expecting that after his Girardi ERA, i mean who would ), he showed plenty of vulnerabilities in the second half of the season. Over the season he pitched worse than his 3.65 ERA.

In July he had a 5.48 ERA> 4.22 BB/9 (!)

In August 2.73 ERA but once again with a shakey 4.73 BB/9.

Against Boston he struggled this year with a 4.50 ERA> 1.64 WHIP in 14 innings pitched.

For Boston Sinkerballer Porcello on the mound. He pitched better and hence deserves a better 4.28 ERA> 8.94 K/9, 2.26 BB/9, 44.1 GB%.

He is 0-3 with in the postseason but it is time for him to step up. Guys like him have to step up in order to go deep this postseason. With Sale we know he will be good so guys like Porcello will be the key.

It is always a big question which Porcello shows up. Either he is great or very bad.

Against the Yankees though he showed that he can pitch. In 23.1 innings pitched this season he has a 2.31 ERA> 0.64 WHIP. He barely walked Yanks with an awesome 1.50 BB/9.

I remember that he owned the Yankees here in the Bronx in August. He allowed just one run and was cruising trough innings with 9 SO, 0 BB (!). He pitched a complete game, how rare is that against this Yankee team.

Cora stated that Sale will not play a role today. He must be rested for a possible 5th game. Yankees will use all their guns as it is all or nothing for them. So their top reliever guys should come in early and hence the first half option.

So we have another road dog with Boston for plus money.

Published: 09-10-2018, 19:27 CET Pick: Red Sox first half +0.00 ( first 5 innings )
Odds: 2.1 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 10-10-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 9)




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