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Yokohama M. - Sagan Tosu    (lost)

       3 rounds ago they met at Sagan Tosu, and Yokohama Marinos started the game really strong taking the lead 2-0 shortly and than quickly after Sagan Tosu made it 2-1, but before the 35th minute it was Yokohama Marinos who made it 3-1, and that was the way the game ended. And I looked at my local bookie for the odds and they are 1.75 on the over 3.5 goals, not so great, and 1.84 for the hosts to score 3+ goals, and they usually know what they do when they give such odds on games.
        While on the internet most bookies have this bet at odds of above 1.90 with Pinnacle even offering odds of 2.06 for the hosts to score 3 times, as they are fighting for a top 3 finish, they are in excellent form with 4 wins in a row in the league games in which they scored 3 goals every single time starting with a 3-0 win at home with Shimizu, they scored those goals really quick, followed by that 3-1 win at Sagan Tosu which can be quite hard to beat especially at home, and next a 3-1 win with Vegalta Sendai at home and a 3-1 win last round with 3 late goals away at a decent Kashiwa side who deserved something out of that game.
       But Yokohama Marinos won the title in this country last season, they are really just 10-3-8 this season but with many goals scored, 43 second best scoring record in the league and at home they scored 25 goals with a record of 6-1-4, and another good fact for this bet is that Sagan Tosu is with just 17 points not so far away from the bottom 3 clubs just 5 points away, and last away game they lost 4-3 away at Kobe, they can score coming after a 3-0 win at home against Tokyo and they are more attacking minded than in previous seasons when they had a Spanish coach, now they have a North Korean man in charge, just that I do not see many foreign players in theri starting eleven in recent games, while Yokohama attacks with 3 Brazilians who score goals lately all of them, so given the fact that odds are higher on the hosts to score at least 3 times than over 3.5 goals I shall take this bet here with decent confidence.
Published: 30-09-2020, 06:48 CET Pick: Yokohama M. Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.06 at Pinnacle


Category: Japanese football
Date: 30-09-2020
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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