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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce    (lost)

Zalgiris were carried away by Fenerbahce in Game 1 43-76 but the Lithuanian champions responded with an impressive 82-80 win at Ulker Sports and Event Hall just two days later to tie the best-of-five series 1-1. Now the actions comes to Kaunas where Zalgiris will be able to count on the best support in Europe. Zalgiris are very hard to defeat in Zalgiris Arena but the great Zeljko and Fenerbahce possess the quality advantage.
What I expect to see in this game is a lot of contact and free throws, for starters. Fenerbahce always get a lot of respect from the referees, while Zalgiris fans in the arena will force the officials to keep the respect levels up for Zalgiris too. Both teams are great from the free throw line, so a decent number of points scored this way is nearly warranted. After having met four times in the season yet, both rivals have also seemingly adjusted to each other's defensive schemes and in Game 2 in particular offensive production was a couple of stairs above the defensive one. Finally, Fenerbahce play like machines when it matters most and Zalgiris added a lot of confidence after securing a win in Game 2. The fans will urge them not to look back and I expect Zalgiris to ry to keep the pace up as five-on-five the Istanbul giants are much harder to score against.
As you can see, I am leaning towards an overish match. A scoring fest is hard to imagine though, still Over 147 sits quite well with me.
Published: 23-04-2019, 12:09 CET Pick: Over 147.5
Odds: 1.82 at Pinnacle


Category: European basketball
Date: 23-04-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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