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Zalgiris Vilnius v Honved    (lost)

Zalgiris v Honved – Over 2.75 @ 1.751 (Pin)

 

Zalgiris broke the Lithuanian habit of a lifetime last week by going away from home in Europe and not playing ultra defensively. Ultimately it backfired and they lost 3-1 however their late goal puts this tie back in the balance a little but they will have to have a real go at the Hungarians from the first whistle.

 

The Lithuanians defence is simply not good enough to play in European competition imo, they can get away with it in the A Lyga due to the low standard and for the most part their defenders are not very busy as the ball is almost always up the other end. Slijngard at left-back is a liability with poor positional sense and for all Mikoliunas was a very good player at his peak he’s 35 now and is not naturally a right-back. The addition of Bolha from Slovenia looks like in time it will work but he’s only made two appearances so far and it’s pretty obvious he is not up to speed with the others yet. Offensively they have players who can hurt Honved imo – Kis and Antal are both in decent form and should get some joy.

 

Honved looked poor last week and were dominated for most of the game despite being pretty big favourites but I think they will play better here. Hungarian football to me looks a good bit better than the Lithuanian game so those first leg stats are a big surprise. For all they were poor they were pretty clinical in front of goal and they troubled Zalgiris a lot when they attacked. Of course they do not need to score here but 1-3 on aggregate can quickly become uncomfortable if they concede early so I think they will attack and they should exploit a poor defence. Gl

Published: 18-07-2019, 17:01 CET Pick: Over 2.75 GL
Odds: 1.751 at Pinnacle


Category: European football
Date: 18-07-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 6)




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