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Zverev - Edmund    (won)

I wrote in Basilashvili - Zverev pick that to beat Zverev you have to either have great variety of your shots or be in amazing form to outhit him from the baseline. In my opinion Edmund isn't in any of those two groups at the moment. He plays ok, but not his best tennis. It has to be said that this very fast surface isn't great for his game as he can be late on his backhand and also he would prefer more time to move more often to his forehand in his backhand corner. On the other side Zverev will enjoy this fast conditions as he will have a very simple game plan to play most balls to Kyle's backhand. He should have big advantage in backhand cross court rallies. Of course Kyle has better forehand than Sascha, but Zverev was hitting his forehand very well so far here in Shanghai. If Zverev's serve will be working as it was so far I think Edmund won't have many chances to break. Jarry was better than Edmund today in first set and Kyle was nowhere near breaking the Chilean. I think this bet has value in it as it can be won even with one break if we are lucky with the timing of the break (7:6 6:3 for example).
Published: 11-10-2018, 11:57 CET Pick: Zverev -3 games
Odds: 1.869 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 12-10-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 4)




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