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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
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Then it's time for the international break, and after doing the analysis, this game looks very exciting. Norway's offensive power is now relatively well known, so I will spend little time writing about it. Norway has scored goals in 17 of the last 18 international matches.
Israel is a somewhat unknown team for many, but they have delivered many strong results in recent years, and they are especially good offensively. Against Italy they ended 4–5 with an xG of 1.39–1.94. Against Norway they were 2–4 with an xG of 1.20–2.81. Israel–Belgium 1–0 with xG of 0.97–1.47. There is little doubt that they have offensive capacity.
Norway are good and have looked very good, but are they completely healthy defensively? It is uncertain. Nerves may also play a role, since a victory would take Norway a big step towards the World Cup, and the team has previously failed in such situations. Ødegaard is out, which is a big disadvantage for Norway, also defensively, as he is important through his pressing game.
I rate this game at just over 50% chance and see it as playable at about 1.90. Result tip: 2–1!
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