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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
| 62 | 322 | -17.7 |
| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
| -6% | 2.19 | 2.11 |
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An interesting game from Norwegian 2. Division where I base my assessment on three main factors:
Kjelsås has better capacity than Ull/Kisa and has shown in the cup that they can beat teams from a higher level – including both Moss and Sarpsborg. Kjelsås' XG numbers are also much better than Ull/Kisa's.
Norsk Tipping local bookmaker with only 1.77 and that odds are probably more fair and I expect this one to fall towards the start of the match
Ull/Kisa has two very heavy absences: first goalkeeper Buhake and the important Paulsrud, both of whom are out with quarantine.
I give Kjelsås at least a 50% chance of victory here.
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