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bfischer

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Cerro Porteno - Nacional    (won)

This game is frantic on the market today and pushing hugely odds down for Cerro Porteno, the standard handicap moved from -1 to -2.25.

Of course, it is because the news that Nacional are hit hard by positive covid tests, in total over 20 players are positive and many decide they will go with their junior team. However the quoted number is total from all selections of the tricolores, according to the latest news (released 2 hours ago) the coach Torres has at disposal 24 players, 13 of them are from the main team and 11 from the junior formation:

https://versus.lanacion.com.py/versus/2020/09/15/casi-la-mitad-de-los-disponibles-son-juveniles-en-nacional/

The title of the article is "Almost half of the unavailable at Nacional are youngsters"

No names of the missing are given anywhere but by logic we can expect the lineup to be mostly a mix of regulars and reserves of the main (senior) team, just if needed filled with 1-2 youngsters. Yesterday the boss of the club said there is no reason to ask for postponement as there are enough players to stand normally in this game.

Cerro Porteno have no such problems, full squad and with 10 wins in row (most of them by minimal difference) they are of course huge favorite and a big win won't be any surprise. But with the current demolished odds on El Ciclon I will risk on Nacional as the personnel situation with them is not so apocalyptical.

I will try to give an update later when there is something specific known who will play
Published: 15-09-2020, 20:34 CET Pick: Nacional +2.25
Odds: 1.92 at Pinnacle
Stake: 3


Category: Football / Paraguay
Date: 15-09-2020
Option: Asian Handicap

bfischer 15-09-2020, 23:56
The eleven of Nacional are announced, not too bad with mainly players used in most of the games as gk Hugo Espinola, Juan Espinola, Victor Barrientos, Victor Caceres, Juan Franco, Cristian Riveros and Julian Benitez. Only 3-4 younger players are unknown factor.

bfischer 16-09-2020, 00:03
Also to note Fernando Romero in the starters, he stays mostly on the bench this year but was regular last season.

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