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Chennaiyin - Bengaluru    (won)

Indian Super League

Odds are dropping big time for Chennaiyin and it has proven counterproductive almost every single time to go against odds drop in this league.

"Probabilities" many times don't matter much, for example odds for Jamshedpur to beat Mumbai few days ago were 3.2 at kickoff. Jamshedpur took lead on 7th minute - and what do I get? The odds lowered to 2.2 to stay so until 60th fucking minute when Mumbai score an equalizer - one that was forthcoming obviously and unevitably, so my bet had maybe 1% chance to win once again.

The line for O/U was 2.25 in this match so it is not any logic for the away win to be 30% at first, then 45 %. It would make sense the other way around, +0.5 should be lower when a team (is supposedly at least trying to) hang on to a result they need (in this case 0-1 , odds 2.2) vs. a result they don't do jackshit with (in this case 0-0 , odds 1.79), also you'd think the less time there is for someone to fuck up, the less likely he is to fuck up, but no.


This Chennaiyin - Bengaluru looks like an obviously fixed match to me. Like I have many times said Chennaiyin have hired at least one confirmed match fixer (Andre Schembri) in their ranks and would probably try to strike a deal with an opponent in this kind of situation. From dropping odds I deduce deal could be a draw.
Published: 09-02-2020, 11:41 CET Pick: Chennaiyin +0.5
Odds: 1.5 at Pinnacle
Stake: 2


Category: Football / India
Date: 09-02-2020
Option: Asian Handicap

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