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bfischer

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Bolivar - Oriente Petrolero    (lost)

 

I'm on bad run but going on hoping that luck will be finally on our side. Last night The Strongest (taken with +0.5, you saw odds crashed later) were massive disappontment, leading 1-0 at half time, missed a penalty in the second half and at the end lost by 1-2...  
 
So after the last night's defeats of The Strongest and Real Potosi, the winner from this game will go on top of the standing with just 2 rounds to go.
 
Not saying anything smart for people who follow Bolivian football but as always the home advantage will be huge factor for the final outcome. Oriente Petrolero usually have big  problems when playing on high altitude such as La Paz (3,640 meters) and lose most of their games, e.g. their away balance in the visits to Bolivar in the last 12 years is  3-6-20. This season Oriente Petrolero are 4-0-6 in away games but 3 of those wins were at "low altitude" opponents as Real Mamore (Trinidad), Guabira (Montero) and the local rivals Blooming. In addition their form is far from good with just 2 homewins in last 7 rounds and 4 defeats in row away from Santa Cruz. Bolivar are doing quite well in La Paz, 6-2-0 this season.
 
Also Oriente Petrolero will have to do tongiht without 2 of their regular midfielders - Jhasmani Campos and Fernando Saucedo (both injured).
 
It is true Bolivar lost harshly the reverse game in Santa Cruz by 0-6 but this is not something so unusual in the h2h history and worry for tonight. In 2004 Bolivar won 6-1 at home and lost ... 0-9 away. In 2006 Bolivar again lost 0-6 in the first game (away) but 2 months later won by 7-1 in La Paz. 
Published: 19-05-2011, 15:32 CET Pick: Bolivar -0.75
Odds: 2.04 at 188bet
Stake: 4


Category: Football / Bolivia
Date: 20-05-2011
Option: Asian Handicap

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