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Barcelona SC - LDU Quito    (won)

 

The Ecuadorean league resuming after 3 weeks pause, just few rounds left in the first stage. LDU have much more at stake, trailing leaders Emelec by 3 points but also with additional 2 games in hand, at the end they should win the title as they are clearly the best team in Ecuador and still not on top just because their participation in Copa Libertadores, played with quite weakened version in some of their games so far. No significant missing today, Ezequiel González and Hernán Barcos recovered, just Jorge Guagua is out with injury.
 
Barcelona are massively disappointing and the relegation threat is not so far for the big club. Although the last few remaining games of this first stage are not decisive for Barcelona, they can't go on throwing away points like that. It can't be easy for LDU to get the win, despite of their momentum Barcelona are always hard opponent on Monumental, LDU are 4-7-16 here since 2000, last 3 games here ended with draws.
 
Not going to back a side but it should be a low-scoring game. First, both teams along with Manta have produced biggest % of under 2.5 goals in the league. LDU have the best defense in the league with 11 goals conceded in 19 games. At the same time Barcelona are usually quite toothless in attack, they scored 20 goals in 20 games but half of them were in just 3 games against the last 2 in the table Independiente Jose Teran and ESPOLI, another 4 goals came in the game with mediocre Olmedo. So you can imagine how BSC looks in attack against strong teams. In addition, 2 of their strikers are still under question for this game (although featured in the group), Vinicio Angulo had a viral problem this week and Iván Borghello struggled with injury. LDU produce average 1 goal in their away games and with their usual solid defending against far inconvincing Barcelona  should keep the total not more than 2 goals. Under 1.70 at bet365, bwin, gamebookers etc. is not worse but I have to stick with the Asian goal line.  
Published: 12-06-2011, 12:59 CET Pick: Under 2.25 goals
Odds: 1.97 at 188bet
Stake: 5


Category: Football / Ecuador
Date: 12-06-2011
Option: Under / Over

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