BETRUSH.COM PREMIUM PICKS VERIFIED SERVICES CASINO GAMES BETTING FORUM

bfischer

Total picks (W-D-L):690-97-538 Average stake:3.49
Risked: 4628 units Average winning odds: 1.89
Net profit: 344.79 units Average losing odds: 1.95
ROI: 107% Monthly stats



Emelec - Barcelona SC   (won)

 

I'm not fan of betting on draws where randomness is too big but here we have good value (you can find 3.20 and more in some Euro bookies, 3.25 in bwin). Clásico del Astillero, the biggest derby of Ecuadorean football. We can see that draw is the most common result in the last 5 years, 13 from last 22 clasicos (including all last 4, 3 of them 0-0) ended without a winner and most of the wins were by minimal margin. Unless it is some win-or-die game the chance not to lose from the big enemy is obviously  acceptable for both sides, in most games bringing cautious play and avoiding risks. The current situation is also pointing that draw won't be bad, Emelec didn't start in the best way with 2 wins and 2 losses and as it looks they won't be able to win the 2nd stage too as Deportivo Quito seem too strong, Emelec already have a ticket for the final and Copa Libertadores so nothing will happen if they don't win today. On the other side Barcelona are disapponting whole season, hard to see a way for them to raise suddenly and do something in the remaining rounds but at least holding the city rival is a matter of honor. Barcelona are the team with most draws in the league, too inefficient in scoring to believe they can get the full set of points.
 
Both teams (especially Emelec) had many players busy this midweek with the NT (visit in Costa Rica for the senior team, the U20 just finished its particiaption on the World Cup) and coaches will make shuffles, Barcelona didn't call Nazareno and De la Torre at all.

Published Aug-14-2011, 12:40 CET

Category: Ecuador
Betting option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: Draw (X)
Odds: 3.15
Stake: 3
Bookmaker: 188bet
Date: Aug-14-2011

/  bfischer stats on Football - Ecuador
DATE GAME +/- TIPSTER   BOOKMAKER
League 22-07-2017 Login to access this pick mrgol
League 22-07-2017 Login to access this pick mrgol
League 22-07-2017 Login to access this pick mrgol
League 22-07-2017 Login to access this pick alexis1016
League 22-07-2017 Login to access this pick toglev
League 23-07-2017 Login to access this pick toglev
League 23-07-2017 Login to access this pick RedBacon
League 23-07-2017 Login to access this pick toglev
League 24-07-2017 Login to access this pick cristiandinu