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bfischer

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Ecuador - Jamaica   (won)

Friendly game. Simple reason for this bet, Ecuador are far from exciting lately and not much reliable but still they are better team than Jamaica and having to play on the deadly altitude in Quito will be a huge handicap for the Reggae Boyz.

The Reggae Boyz are not the team we knew few years ago when they are boosted by English players of Jamaican descent, now consisting of local guys plus some playing in MLS and Norway with arguable success. Compared with the Gold Cup 3 months ago Jamaica are missing some important figures as Ian Goodison and Tyrone Marshall in defense, Omar Daley in midfield and Luton Shelton in attack, busy in Europe.
 
Ecuador also won't rely on the European based Antonio Valencia, Felipe Caicedo and Christian Noboa but anyway their backbone has always been players from the local league and we can see  plenty of familiar faces like Walter Ayoví, Segundo Castillo, Édison Méndez, Ivan Kaviedes, Christian Benítez. Ecuador performed quite bad on Copa America and turning a new page that started well 3 weeks ago, 2-0 win in friendly away in Costa Rica.
 
Both teams met in 2009, odds were similar so the 0-0 can be surprising but the reason was that the game was played in New York, Ecuador were weakened in attack without Kaviedes and Benitez and not at last had 2 goals disallowed by the referee. Now it is different, it is known how hard are the conditions in Quito for the visiting teams (especially such unaware of altitude as Jamaica) and if you don't believe looking at Ecuador's past results actually they don't play often at home (even friendlies) apart from the World Cup qualifiers so this is case to use.

Published Sep-01-2011, 14:21 CET

Category: . International
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Ecuador -1
Odds: 1.84
Stake: 5
Bookmaker: 188bet
Date: Sep-02-2011

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