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bfischer

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Oriente Petrolero - Blooming    (won)

 

Repeating my pick from April, Blooming were again +0.75 and even won 2-1. Reasons for these bets are quite simple, no team can be big favorite in this game, chances are always 50/50 no matter of current form and quality. Clasico of Santa Cruz, one and the same stadium for both teams, h2h balance is absolutely equal - 23-17-24 since 2000 and 4-0-4 in 2010 - 2011. Not discarding the chances of los refineros to take 3 points but the value is on the other side.
 
No great momentum for any of the teams, Oriente Petrolero started with 4-1 win over the total outsider Real Mamore followed by 1-1 at home vs The Strongest and 2-4 loss at Nacional Potosi. Blooming had a hard launch with 2 harsh defeats from Guabira and Real Potosi but in the last round managed to beat the champion Bolivar by 1-0 and will look to build on that result.
 
Oriente Petrolero are missing their regular goalie Hugo Suarez who broke fingers on Friday's training and will rely on the younger Alex Arancibia who doesn't have much playing experience with the first team. Blooming have a couple of injuries - midfielder Jorge Ortiz and striker Oscar Diaz (he played only in the first round)
Published: 18-09-2011, 11:27 CET Pick: Blooming +0.75
Odds: 1.94 at SBOBET
Stake: 4


Category: Football / Bolivia
Date: 18-09-2011
Option: Asian Handicap

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