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bfischer

Total picks (W-D-L):690-97-538 Average stake:3.49
Risked: 4628 units Average winning odds: 1.89
Net profit: 344.79 units Average losing odds: 1.95
ROI: 107% Monthly stats



Herediano - Comunicaciones   (won)

 

Last games in the group stage of the CONCACAF Champions League. In case of equal points tie-breaker are the direct games between the teams in question.
 
Odds in this game are set entirely because that Herediano are already eliminated while at the moment Comunicaciones still have chance to go through but this is likely to change tomorrow. The things is that Monterrey visit Seattle (already qualified) one day before this game needing 1 point to go through on theory and quite probably they will get it if we see the general trend of what US and Mexican teams do in this competition, not harming each other in the longer perspective. So a day later we can expect 2 teams without any special motivation and a formal game to be played, in this case it is absurd to have hosts Herediano as underdogs as they are not worse team than Comunicaciones.
 
Herediano didn't play in the weekend as their game with Perez Zeledon was postponed and will be fresh enough to finish the campaign with a decent score. Comunicaciones are traditionally not good away from Guatemala, also this year lost both of their away games - 1-4 at Seattle and 1-3 at Monterrey.
 
Of course it may look better to wait first for the result on Seattle - Monterrey but then we can't have these odds at all.

Published Oct-17-2011, 14:59 CET

Category: . International
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Herediano +0.25
Odds: 1.77
Stake: 5
Bookmaker: 188bet
Date: Oct-20-2011

/  bfischer stats on Football - . International
Update by bfischer:Oct-19-2011, 09:14 CET
As expected Monterrey took what they need, I feel like an idiot for being too particular on the odds value and not making a pick on that game... Odds for Herediano - Comunicaciones got reversed to normal even before last night, now we wait.

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