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Bolivar - The Strongest    (won)

 

180th edition of clásico paceño. The previous game was month and something ago Bolivar winning by 5-3 and again the only things to expect is flow of goals, odds are good especially as I see the market tends to move in favor of the "under" which ahs no logic.
 
In Apertura The Strongest are scoring and conceding industrial volume of goals, in 7 rounds so far scored 25 and allowed 15 goals. Just one game ended under 2.5, 1-1 in the valley at Oriente Petrolero, apart from that we have some huge results as 6-2 and 3-3 against La Paz, 9-1 against Real Mamore, the mentioned 3-5 with Bolivar. Last week I was planning a pick on over 3 (seeing the early odds) for the game with La Paz but gave it away when Asians opened with the 3.25 goal line, bad chance as the game had 6 goals.
 
On their part Bolivar aren't that productive, 4 games from their 7 so far ended under 2.5 but exactly this gives us that line and also we must see that the low scores were mostly away. In La Paz Bolivar played 4 games so far, we can't complain about lack of goals - 5-3 with their today's rival, 6-1 with Guabira, 1-1 with Real Potosi, 1-2 with Universitario.
 
And we can't ignore the tradition. Taking the recent h2h stats since 2008 Bolivar and The Strongest played 25 games, 17 ended with 3 or more goals. It is normal knowing the conditions, anyone who watched games on such altitude (3,600 meters) knows that the ball moves a lot faster and it is not any problem to score a goal from 30 or even 40 meters, that's why highscoring games prevail not only for these teams but in general.
 
Nothing important as team news.  
Published: 29-10-2011, 11:02 CET Pick: Over 2.75
Odds: 2.09 at 188bet
Stake: 4


Category: Football / Bolivia
Date: 30-10-2011
Option: Under / Over

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