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bfischer

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Deportivo Quito - El Nacional    (won)

 

As in the case with Guabira, 1X2 unfortunately not coming in Asia and AH odds got immediately destroyed after appearing. 
 
My main advice would be around 5 units on El Nacional straight win (odds around 3.40 and more still available in many Euro bookies), actually El Nacional should be the distinct favorites here so we have really wide room to bet on this game even with my crappy quoted odds. 
 
Deportivo Quito fielding entirely reserve lineup tonight, because they already achieved their goal (1st place in the 2nd stage) and the tight schedule giving rest to their top eleven who start to prepare for the final vs Emelec, besides that to avoid the risk of injuries and suspensions. On Sunday the regulars looked tired and not much dangerous in the visit to Barcelona, only by chance and referee mistakes (who didn't give a clear penalty to BSC) didn't lose with more than 0-1.
 
On the other side El Nacional are in very tight battle with Barcelona for the 4th place in the aggregate table meaning a playoff with LDU Quito for Copa Liberatdores (if LDU don't win Copa Sudamericana though) and 3 points are mandatory here. Ricardo López (injured) is the only new missing, Juan Carlos Anangonó back in play after serving a suspension.
 
Both teams share one and the same stadium in Quito (Atahualpa) so home advantage for Deportivo is only on paper. El Nacional should be able to cope with the 2nd string version of their opponent.
Published: 30-11-2011, 12:04 CET Pick: El Nacional +0.5
Odds: 1.62 at SBOBET
Stake: 8


Category: Football / Ecuador
Date: 01-12-2011
Option: Asian Handicap

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