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bfischer

Total picks (W-D-L):690-97-538 Average stake:3.49
Risked: 4628 units Average winning odds: 1.89
Net profit: 344.79 units Average losing odds: 1.95
ROI: 107% Monthly stats



Tacuary - Libertad   (half-lost)

 

I wasn't planning to make a pick on this game but after odds rised from ~ 1.90 to 2.20 simply there is good value at the moment. Probably the market is overreacting on the news that Libertad will be without a couple of notable forwards as Jose Nunez (missing 3rd game in row) and Rodolfo Gamarra added to the "unders" produced by both teams in first 2 rounds but Libertad have big choice of good strikers, tonight expected to come with Cristian Menéndez and Mauro Caballero in attack, both are in good form. Menéndez brought the 2 wins in Apertura so far, the young Caballero already scored 2 goals in Copa Libertadores, few days ago giving the win in the visit to Nacional Montevideo which will boost his confidence and mood to score more. Pablo Velázquez also available on the bench. Libertad are in cracking form, 5 wins in row in which they scored 12 goals. The team  had time to rest after the visit in Uruguay and Jorge Burruchaga not planning many changes, besides the mentioned two plus Bonet (reg. defender) all other players featured in the group.
 
Tacuary started Apertura with 2 defeats without scoring a goal and have no option than to take a bit bigger risks in their games, expected to appear with 2 strikers in the first eleven - Raúl Román and Santiago Alvarenga.
 
Libertad will be giving the pace in this game and hopefully we will see much better picture than yesterday when Cerro Porteno's performance was clear insult to football, at least Libertad are looking much better and gelled since the start of the new season and 2 goals (giving 50% of the stake back) must be the minimum to expect.

Published Feb-20-2012, 16:27 CET

Category: Paraguay
Betting option: Under / Over
Pick: Over 2.25
Odds: 2.21
Stake: 4
Bookmaker: SBOBET
Date: Feb-20-2012

/  bfischer stats on Football - Paraguay
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