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bfischer

Total picks (W-D-L):690-97-538 Average stake:3.49
Risked: 4628 units Average winning odds: 1.89
Net profit: 344.79 units Average losing odds: 1.95
ROI: 107% Monthly stats



The Strongest - Juan Aurich   (won)

 

In my opinion the story with altitude here too exagerrated in the odds, Juan Aurich are not weaker team than The Strongest and playing high above the sea level is not so unusual for the visitors as they often have such games in the Peruvean league at Cuzco, Arequipa and Huancayo. While many Peruvean clubs are in collapse at the moment the champion from last season is OK with the money, made a good selection for the local standards.  Not complete as Luis Tejada and Willian Chiroque are injured while Cesar Ortiz serves suspension, that shouldn't be so big problem though as Juan Aurich have a long list to choose from, Tejada was the goal machine last season  but it may turn that the attacking pair of Ysrael Zuniga and Mauricio Montes can do better on high altitude as they have previously played in teams like Cienciano and Melgar and used well to such conditions. The new signing in attack Julio Caicedo also can help, a local blog quotes him even in the starting eleven along with Zuniga and Montes meaning Juan Aurich can start with 3 strikers.
 
The Strongest are team from which you can expect everything, rushing ahead and scoring goals but at the same time chaotic at the back  open to concede. In the first round the Bolivians got a  dramatic 2-1 win over Santos in the last seconds which was quite lucky as Santos missed at least 5 unbelievable chances to go in front in the 2nd half. Luis Melgar will be out from their side.
 
Taking also the "over", a bit as insurance as if The Stongest eventually beat the handicap that should mean also 3 or more goals in the game and generally this is a clash where goals are expected.

Published Feb-22-2012, 15:27 CET

Category: . International
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Juan Aurich +1.5
Odds: 1.89
Stake: 4
Bookmaker: SBOBET
Date: Feb-24-2012

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