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bfischer

Total picks (W-D-L):690-97-538 Average stake:3.49
Risked: 4628 units Average winning odds: 1.89
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ROI: 107% Monthly stats



Olimpia - Sol de America   (lost)

 

First making the precision that if you are comfortable with Euro bookies and the Asian line collapses fast (this opening 1.86 at SBO is high as 188bet started at 1.80), it is better to take over 2.5, odds are 1.65 in bet365, 1.67 in Victor Chandler etc.
 
Olimpia being the most successful and popular Paraguayan club had a very hard decade winning nothing since 10 years but now totally renovated - new president, new coach (Nery Pumpido) and many new players are about to turn the page. "El Decano" is leader in Apertura equal in points with Nacional and with no room to make mistakes. Attack is best part of the team and delivering a lot, the new signing Pablo Zeballos (10 goals, last season 24 goals for Cerro Porteno) and Juan Ferreyra (8 goals) leading the topscorers list of Primera after 14 rounds. Defense is not so strict though, allowing average 1 goal per game. As result, 11 from all 14 games of Olimpia ended with 3 or more goals. No serious lineup changes, Enrique Meza will replace the Colombian Jamell Ramos in defense.
Sol de America are typically one of the teams that will fight against relegation. Also making mostly "overs" especially after February. This is the team with weakest defense so far in the league which will be even a lot weaker for today because the two most experienced defenders Ricardo Martinez and Diego Ciz (someone may remember him from Rapid Bucharest) are suspended, following red cards in the 3-2 win over 3 de Febrero. Bad news ahead of the clash with very powerful offensive team as Olimpia.
 
In the first game Olimpia had no problems and thrashed Sol de America by 4-0, something similar expected but as Olimpia are not very reliable at the back it is better to take "over" instead of the handicap.

Published Apr-23-2011, 12:28 CET

Category: Paraguay
Betting option: Under / Over
Pick: Over 2.75
Odds: 1.86
Stake: 4
Bookmaker: SBOBET
Date: Apr-23-2011

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