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bfischer

Total picks (W-D-L):690-97-538 Average stake:3.49
Risked: 4628 units Average winning odds: 1.89
Net profit: 344.79 units Average losing odds: 1.95
ROI: 107% Monthly stats



ESPOLI - Barcelona   (won)

 

In the midweek it was good chance to bet against Barcelona, now things are opposite.
 
Despite their unimpressive performance so far Barcelona are much better as quality, background and resources than ESPOLI. In fact one of the reasons for ESPOLI to avoid relegation last season is because Barcelona let them win 3-0 in Guayaquil in the final rounds, the first game this year was another story and El Idolo won easy by 4-1. After the coach change ESPOLI look a bit better but nothing so amazing, they won over Manta who are just mediocre side after losing some key players after 2010, 0-0 with quite understrengthened LDU Quito... ESPOLI keep stuck on the last place which says enough.
 
The second reason to find value in this bet is that ESPOLI are hardly "hosts" and Barcelona "visitors" here. ESPOLI practically don't have fans and although from Quito they move from one town to another, in the last 10 years hosted their games in 4 different towns. Now that's Santo Domingo. It is good for Barcelona because Santo Domingo is just 600 meters above the sea level and they don't have to fight with the altitude factor, in addition the stadium will be packed with their fans as Barcelona have a large fan base in every city of Ecuador. It may be interesting that exactly today Barcelona have a birthday and have one more reason to celebrate it with a win in front of the cheering crowd.
 
Except the suspended Brayan de la Torre Barcelona come with full squad (Matamoros is still injured but his missing is not so important). 

Published May-01-2011, 13:41 CET

Category: Ecuador
Betting option: Asian Handicap
Pick: Barcelona 0
Odds: 1.82
Stake: 4
Bookmaker: 188bet
Date: May-01-2011

/  bfischer stats on Football - Ecuador
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