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Tipsters, biathlon models and other ways to find an edge

14-05-2021

The reality is that not many people involved in betting are ever able to find value in bets they are placing. As this is the reality most of them very likely will lose money in the long run.

In case, they are recreational bettors, that is not a problem as long as they are getting enough fun from their betting activity to justify the losses and are able to stay in control of their expenditure and not lose too much.

However, if you are looking to make a profit from your betting activities, being a long term loser is the direct opposite of what you are aiming for. The only realistic way of becoming a winner in the long run is to make sure that you place value bets. That is bets with a higher chance of winning than the odds indicates. To be able to identify value bets you need to somehow find an edge.

However, finding an edge is a way more difficult than most punters and recreational bettors realize. Even so, as with most things in life there are ways this can be done.

For most punters it can be wise to consider getting help finding value bets. There are a lot of tips selling websites, but too many of these tipsters are nothing but frauds who are making you pay for something of no value whatsoever.

We would first take a look at free betting tipster services. One such free tipster website which we trust ourselves has a long history of offering good information and valuable betting tips completely free of charge.

Golaliga is a site providing tips and news for the Spanish La Liga. The tipsters who are working there have quite an astonishing win/loss ratio, and some fresh LaLiga predictions and betting tips are almost always available at this site.

Another way to get an edge which can be helpful for identifying upcoming value bets is if you have great domain knowledge of a sport or some part of a sport or league.

When placing football bets the ability to think like a manager and to understand all the details of the game in-depth can be a huge asset. There are some fascinating articles about football managers on the web, personally this historical article about Port Vale managers, is one of my all time favourtites. Having the ability to grasp all the details and possessing a deeper understanding of the game combined with an understanding of odds and betting can put you on the way of becoming a winner.

Another option which is getting increasingly common these days is to use a computer model to estimate the chances of the various outcomes. If the model is sophisticated and is fed quality in-data, it can for sure be better at predicting the future than the betting markets. This is especially true for smaller betting sports.

Building a model predicting the future results of a sport is a daunting task, one not many punters have the resources to deliver well on. However, there are some quality models making predictions for free. All you need to do to find value is identifying which models are good and to use the predictions of such models.

An example of such a model is making predictions for 2021-22 IBU Biathlon World Cup . Sportindepth even evaluated how their model performed against Pinnacle’s odds last season and the results look very promising.

No matter what source you use to get value bets, you would be wise to make sure that you make your bets at the best odds available to you. The best way to do this is to use an odds comparisson. In our opinion the best free odds comparisson service for sports betting odds is Oddsportal.




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