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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
| 76 | 470 | +63.4 |
| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
| +13% | 1.71 | 1.72 |
| Full stats / Picks archive | ||
Lazio have made an encouraging start to the season and are showing promising form, while Juventus remain inconsistent despite having home advantage. The Turin side are also dealing with several key absences, notably Kenan Yıldız, Manuel Locatelli and Khéphren Thuram, which could affect their creativity going forward and their balance in midfield. Lazio, meanwhile, have a collective structure that should allow them to remain competitive in what could be a tight game. The +1 Asian Handicap offers valuable protection: a Lazio win or draw lands the bet, while a one-goal defeat results in a push. Of course, playing in Turin is still an advantage for Juventus, and Lazio have injury concerns of their own. Nevertheless, I find the 1.92 (on Betfair) price particularly attractive given the overall context. Personally, I would expect Lazio +1 to be priced somewhere around 1.50–1.60 based on the respective form of both teams and Juventus' key absences. In my view, there is a potentially huge market inefficiency here, and I genuinely struggle to understand why the odds are so high.
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